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Business Risk Index

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National Economic Index Market Insights
Probability of Default

Month-on-Month

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Trade Receivables Growth

Change Year-on-Year

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Trade Receivables Growth Probability of Default
Month-on-Month

Geographical Risk Index

The Geographic Business Risk Index ranks regions from best-to-worst in terms of future insolvency risk for businesses. 
It ranks more than 300 regions in Australia. Find out how this calculation is measured.
Region Breakdown State Breakdown
SA3 Region State PD GeoRisk GeoRisk Index
State PD GeoRisk State Average GeoRisk Index
Month-on-Month

Probability Of Default

The National Probability of Default is an early indicator of the average number of Australian businesses expected to become insolvent over the next 12 months. Find out how this calculation is measured.
State Breakdown Industry Breakdown
Year-on-Year

Trade Receivables Growth

National Trade Receivables Growth is an overview of trade receivables and cash flow activity. It is a key indicator of business-to-business trade and a critical barometer of the overall health of the Australian economy. Find out how this calculation is measured.

Business Risk Index Articles

Media Release - Business Risk Index
Business conditionsBusiness Insights

Tough start to 2025 ahead for Australian businesses; sector outlook worst for hospitality

Dec 12, 2024
Media Release - Business Risk Index
Business conditionsBusiness Insights

Business failures at highest rate since peak of pandemic; Soft household spending hitting hospitality hardest

Nov 20, 2024
Media Release - Business Risk Index
Business conditionsBusiness Insights

Overdue B2B payments at highest rate since March 2021; Construction and hospitality sectors top payment defaults

Oct 16, 2024
Media Release - Business Risk Index
Business conditionsBusiness Insights

Business failures at highest rate since Jan 2021; B2B payment defaults hit record high 

Sep 18, 2024
Media Release - Business Risk Index
Business conditionsBusiness Insights

Business failures to increase in nine out of 10 Australian regions; Queensland to fare worst among the states 

Aug 15, 2024
Media Release: Business Risk Index
Business conditionsBusiness Insights

Business Risk Index, June results: Value of business orders at record low; 12-month forecast for hospitality failures rises to 9.1%

Jul 16, 2024
Media Release: Business Risk Index
Business conditionsBusiness Insights

Business insolvencies surge to record high – rate increases 38% on average across all industries

Jun 18, 2024
Media Release: Business Risk Index
Business conditionsBusiness Insights

One in 13 hospitality businesses facing failure in 12 months; B2B payment defaults hit record high

May 21, 2024
Media Release: Business Risk Index
Business conditionsBusiness Insights

External administrations surge to record high; construction sector dominates ATO tax debt defaults

Apr 17, 2024
Media Release: Business Risk Index
Business conditionsBusiness Insights

Invoice defaults at record highs as cost pressures squeeze businesses

Mar 13, 2024
Media Release: Business Risk Index
Business conditionsBusiness Insights

Business order values at record low as Christmas trading boost fails to arrive

Feb 14, 2024
Media Release: Business Risk Index
Business conditionsBusiness Insights

External administrations surging across most sectors as business activity slides

Dec 13, 2023
Media Release: Business Risk Index
Business conditionsBusiness Insights

Business activity dries up – invoice values at record lows; But Melbourne the most improved capital city

Nov 15, 2023
Media Release: Business Risk Index
Business conditionsBusiness Insights

Business activity picks up, but invoice values below pre-COVID levels; Western Sydney dominates list of high-risk regions

Oct 18, 2023
Media Release: Business Risk Index
Business conditionsBusiness Insights

Business activity sinks: value of invoices at 7-year low as external administrations and payment defaults surge

Sep 13, 2023
Media Release: Business Risk Index
Business conditionsBusiness Insights

Average value of invoices down 28% YoY as demand and cost pressures squeeze businesses

Aug 23, 2023
Chief Economist
Business Risk IndexChief Economist

Momentum slows in Construction and Hospitality sectors

Jul 12, 2023
Media Release - Business Risk Index
Business conditionsBusiness Insights

Business Risk Index: Business payment defaults surge 52%; On the upside, Western Brisbane the most-improved region in Australia

Jul 12, 2023
Media Release - Business Risk Index
Business conditionsBusiness Insights

Business Risk Index: Key business indicators show conditions worsening; NSW Central Coast area suffers biggest YoY jump in business risk

Jun 20, 2023
Industry insights - Business Risk Index
Business Risk IndexCreditorWatch

Hospitality bears the brunt of high services-based inflation

May 19, 2023
Media Release - Business Risk Index
Business conditionsBusiness Insights

Business Risk Index: Trade activity surging despite rising external administrations; SE Queensland hit hard by defaults

May 17, 2023
Business Risk Index June 2022 Industry Insights
Business InsightsBusiness Risk Index

Hospitality tops list of industries at risk as cost-of-living pressures begin to bite

Apr 20, 2023
Media Release - Business Risk Index
Business conditionsBusiness Insights

Business Risk Index: Business activity back to pre-COVID levels but for how long?; High risk regions – six of the 10 worst are in Western Sydney

Apr 18, 2023
Media Release - Business Risk Index
Business conditionsBusiness Insights

Business Risk Index: conditions tighten further; default rates higher in regions with more younger people

Mar 15, 2023
Media Release - Business Risk Index
Business InsightsBusiness Risk Index

Business Risk Index results – January 2023

Feb 16, 2023
Industry insights - Business Risk Index
Business InsightsBusiness Risk Index

Business Risk Index November 2022, Industry Insights

Dec 15, 2022
Media Release - Business Risk Index
Business InsightsBusiness Risk Index

Sign of the times – trade receivables point to subdued December trading period

Dec 15, 2022
Industry insights - Business Risk Index
Business Risk IndexCreditorWatch

Business Risk Index October 2022 Industry Insights

Nov 16, 2022
Media Release - Business Risk Index
Business Risk IndexCreditorWatch

A tale of two economies; Small business struggling as late payments take hold

Nov 16, 2022
Media Release - Business Risk Index
Business Risk IndexCreditorWatch

CreditorWatch Business Risk Index: Nation-wide risk of default worsens

Oct 13, 2022
Industry insights - Business Risk Index
Business Risk IndexCreditorWatch

Trade across the board increases as supply and labour bottlenecks begin to clear

Oct 13, 2022
Media Release - Business Risk Index
Business Risk Index

CreditorWatch Business Risk Index: Payment defaults accelerating; key indicator for insolvencies up 53% YoY

Sep 14, 2022
Industry insights - Business Risk Index
Business Risk Index

Pressures increase on businesses as economic conditions change

Sep 14, 2022
Media Release - Business Risk Index
Business Risk IndexCreditorWatch

External administrations surge as cheap money dries up; Court actions up 54% YoY

Aug 10, 2022
Industry insights - Business Risk Index
Business Risk IndexCreditorWatch

Business Risk Index July 2022 Industry Insights

Aug 10, 2022
Media Release - Business Risk Index
Business Risk IndexCreditorWatch

Business confidence at a turning point; data points to softer than expected second half of 2022

Jul 12, 2022
Industry Synopsis - Business Risk Index
Business Risk IndexChief Economist

‘Perfect economic storm’ means the end is nigh for struggling Aussie businesses

Jun 17, 2022
Business Insights
Business InsightsBusiness Risk Index

Podcast: Business Risk Index – April 2022 Insights

May 11, 2022
Business Risk Index - Industry Synopsis
Business Risk IndexCreditorWatch

BRI April 2022 – Industry Insights

May 10, 2022
Business Risk Index Media Release
Business Risk IndexCreditorWatch

Economy at turning point as positive trends continue; Grim outlook for flood-affected regions

May 10, 2022
Business Insights
Business InsightsBusiness Risk Index

Podcast: Business Risk Index – March 2022 Insights

Apr 13, 2022
Business Risk Index - Industry Synopsis
Business Risk IndexCreditorWatch

Industry Synopsis CreditorWatch’s March 2022 Business Risk Index

Apr 12, 2022
Business Risk Index Media Release
Business Risk IndexCreditorWatch

Trade activity rises but inflation and rate rises to drag; Hospitality default risk surges

Apr 12, 2022
Business Risk Index - Industry Synopsis
Business Risk IndexCreditorWatch

Industry Synopsis for CreditorWatch’s February 2022 Business Risk Index

Mar 08, 2022
Business Risk Index Media Release
Business Risk IndexCreditorWatch

Trade activity up for now but flood impact looming; Construction sector confronts deep issues

Mar 08, 2022
Economic update with Harley Dale
Business Risk IndexCreditorWatch

Economic Update – January 2022 Retail Sales

Feb 28, 2022
CreditorWatch Business Risk Index Industry Synopsis
Business Risk IndexCOVID-19

Industry Synopsis for CreditorWatch’s January 2022 Business Risk Index

Feb 08, 2022
CreditorWatch 10 Million Credit Reports
Business Risk IndexCreditorWatch

Insolvencies to rise across 2022; Trade receivables down 45% on same qtr last year; court actions jump 58%

Feb 08, 2022
The master of predictive data models
Business Risk IndexCreditorWatch

The master of predictive data models

Jan 24, 2022
CreditorWatch Business Risk Index Industry Synopsis
Business Risk IndexEconomic Snapshot

Industry Synopsis for CreditorWatch’s December 2021 Business Risk Index

Jan 19, 2022
Business Risk Index Media Release
Business Risk IndexCreditorWatch

CreditorWatch data: Santa went missing! But Newcastle and Perth best improving cities

Jan 19, 2022
Talking Tech: How to build a business risk index, part 4
Business Risk IndexCreditorWatch

Talking Tech: How to build a Business Risk Index, Part 4

Dec 22, 2021
Talking Tech: How to build a business risk index, part 3
Business Risk IndexCreditorWatch

Talking Tech: How to build a Business Risk Index, Part 3

Dec 15, 2021
The dynamics of the Australian economy are rapidly changing
Business Risk IndexCOVID-19

The dynamics of the Australian economy are rapidly changing

Dec 13, 2021
Business Risk Index Media Release
Business Risk IndexCreditorWatch

CreditorWatch data: Recovery to take longer than expected; Perth and Brisbane bouncing back quickest

Dec 07, 2021
CreditorWatch 10 Million Credit Reports
Business Risk IndexCreditorWatch

Industry Synopsis for CreditorWatch’s November 2021 Business Risk Index

Dec 07, 2021
Talking tech: How to build a business risk index (Part 2)
Business Risk IndexCreditorWatch

Talking Tech: How to build a Business Risk Index, Part 2

Nov 16, 2021
Business Risk Index Media Release
Business Risk IndexCOVID-19

CreditorWatch data: Regional Victorian businesses poised for strong recovery while Melbourne metro continues to struggle

Nov 09, 2021
CreditorWatch 10 Million Credit Reports
Business Risk IndexCreditorWatch

Lockdown no impediment to business performance in regional Victoria, however, Melbourne metro continues to struggle

Nov 09, 2021
How billions of datapoints became a Business Risk Index
Business Risk IndexData

How billions of datapoints became a Business Risk Index

Oct 17, 2021
Business Risk Index
Business Risk IndexCreditorWatch

CreditorWatch launches Australian-first Business Risk Index

Oct 12, 2021
Business Risk Index
Business Risk IndexCreditorWatch

The CreditorWatch Business Risk Index: Australia’s most incisive leading indicator of business risk

Oct 12, 2021

This month’s insights

Media Release - Business Risk Index
Business conditionsBusiness Insights

Tough start to 2025 ahead for Australian businesses; sector outlook worst for hospitality

CreditorWatch, has released the November results for its Business Risk Index (BRI) with all key metrics pointing to an extremely challenging start to 2025 for Australian businesses, particularly small businesses.

Dec 12, 2024
Media Release - Business Risk Index
Business conditionsBusiness Insights

Business failures at highest rate since peak of pandemic; Soft household spending hitting hospitality hardest

CreditorWatch, has released the August results for its Business Risk Index (BRI) revealing that the rate of business failures is at its highest level since January 2021, when Australia was in the midst of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Nov 20, 2024
Industry Performance Report
Business conditionsBusiness Insights

CreditorWatch rates 16.2% of hospitality businesses as high risk or above; Forecast closure rate of 8.9% over next 12 months for the sector

CreditorWatch, has released its latest industry risk ratings, revealing businesses in the hospitality sector are currently exhibiting an extremely high level of risk compared to other sectors.

Oct 28, 2024
Court Actions

Month-on-Month

View Analysis
Ext Administrations

Month-on-Month

View Analysis
Payment Trends: SMEs

Month-on-Month

View Analysis
Payment Trends: Corp

Month-on-Month

View Analysis
Payment Trends: Corp Court Actions
Month-on-Month

Payment Defaults

State Breakdown Industry Breakdown
Month-on-Month

Court Actions

State Breakdown Industry Breakdown
Month-on-Month

External Administrations

State Breakdown Industry Breakdown
Month-on-Month

Payment Trends: SMEs

State Breakdown Industry Breakdown
Month-on-Month

Payment Trends: Corporate

State Breakdown Industry Breakdown

Payment Default Articles

Christmas pig
Cash FlowCredit Management

Eight ways to avoid the Christmas cash flow crunch

Dec 17, 2024
How to improve your chances of collecting outstanding payments
Credit ManagementCreditorWatch

How to improve your chances of collecting outstanding payments

Nov 30, 2022
Inflation Ahead
Cash FlowInflation

Effects of inflation on businesses: Is inflation good or bad for companies?

Nov 08, 2022
Payment Defaults

Why hospitality businesses must consider registering payment defaults

Oct 24, 2022
InsolvencyPayment Defaults

Using data to predict business default and insolvency risk

Aug 30, 2022
Credit ReportsDebt Collection

Five reasons to register a payment default

Aug 24, 2022
ConstructionPayment Defaults

Lodging payment defaults: construction business’ secret weapon from insolvency in a high-risk environment

Aug 16, 2022
A team of workers in hard hats and vests collaborating on construction plans.
ConstructionPayment Defaults

How construction businesses can avoid late payments

Jul 29, 2022
Payment overdue
Credit ManagementCreditorWatch

Watch out for these 10 red flags of financial distress

Jul 13, 2022
Business Insights
Business InsightsBusiness Risk Index

Podcast: Business Risk Index – March 2022 Insights

Apr 13, 2022
Why you should register payment defaults in 2022
CreditorWatchPayment Defaults

Why you should register payment defaults in 2022

Feb 03, 2022
How to get debtors to pay
Cash FlowCOVID-19

How to Get Debtors to Pay During COVID-19

Jun 19, 2020
Default
Credit ReportsDebt Collection

Payment Defaults: The Provocative Tool That Works

Apr 14, 2020
Retail Industry - Small Business Risk Review Q4 2019
Business Risk ReviewNews

Australian Retail Industry: Small Business Risk Review Q4 2019

Feb 16, 2020
Small Business Risk Review Q4
Business Risk ReviewCreditorWatch

Small Business Risk Review Q4, 2019

Feb 07, 2020
SBRR Q1, 2019
BankruptcyBusiness Risk Review

A Call for Due Diligence: Small Business Risk Review Q1 2019

Apr 15, 2019
CreditorWatchDue Diligence

CreditorWatch Launches New Feature to Simplify Registering Defaults

Sep 10, 2018
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